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Static Propagation Model Limitations as a Root Cause of Coverage Planning Failures in Dense Urban 5G Deployments

Authors

Kozak Andrey Aleksandrovich

Rubric:Technical sciences in general
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Empirical path-loss models such as Okumura-Hata, calibrated for frequencies below 1500 MHz and base station heights above rooftop level, introduce systematic prediction biases exceeding 9 dB when applied to sub-6 GHz and millimeter-wave small cell deployments in dense urban environments. These biases propagate through the planning pipeline and produce site count overestimates of 65–80% relative to measurement-informed baselines. This paper presents a transfer-adaptive neural framework for 5G coverage planning that combines geospatially conditioned probabilistic propagation prediction, Pareto-weighted joint coverage-capacity deficit optimization, and closed-loop online adaptation with spatially varying regularization proportional to local measurement uncertainty. The framework was evaluated over a 180 km² urban region at 3.5 GHz using drive-test data from 800 km of road segments. Region-specific fine-tuning reduced mean absolute prediction error from 9.1 dB to 5.5 dB and decreased the required site count by 11–13% relative to non-adapted baselines, while compressing the planning cycle from 40–58 days to 14–22 days.

Keywords

5G network planning; propagation path loss model; transfer learning; neural network; millimeter-wave; small cell deployment; multi-objective optimization; online model adaptation; coverage prediction; urban environment

Authors

Kozak Andrey Aleksandrovich

Rubric:Technical sciences in general
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References:

3rd Generation Partnership Project. (2017). Study on channel model for frequencies from 0.5 to 100 GHz (3GPP TR 38.901, Version 14.0.0, Release 14). ETSI.

Akdeniz, M. R., Liu, Y., Samimi, M. K., Sun, S., Rangan, S., Rappaport, T. S., & Erkip, E. (2014). Millimeter wave channel modeling and cellular capacity evaluation. IEEE Journal on Selected Areas in Communications, 32(6), 1164–1179. https://doi.org/10.1109/JSAC.2014.2328154

Hata, M. (1980). Empirical formula for propagation loss in land mobile radio services. IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology, 29(3), 317–325. https://doi.org/10.1109/T-VT.1980.23859

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Sun, S., Rappaport, T. S., Rangan, S., Thomas, T. A., Ghosh, A., Kovacs, I. Z., Rodriguez, I., Koymen, O., Partyka, A., & Jarvelainen, J. (2016). Propagation path loss models for 5G urban micro- and macro-cellular scenarios. In Proceedings of the IEEE 83rd Vehicular Technology Conference (VTC Spring) (pp. 1–6). IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/VTCSpring.2016.7504435

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