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Dynamics of Geochemical Anomalies in Groundwater Before Earthquakes

Authors

Parvana Abdulrazagova

Rubric:Geology
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This study investigates hydrogeochemical anomalies in groundwater as potential precursors to seismic events in Azerbaijan. Long-term monitoring in the Shamakhi region, including data from the Baku (2000) and Shamakhi (2019) earthquakes, reveals consistent pre-seismic variations in sulfate, hydrogencarbonate, carbonate, and alkali metal ions (Na, K), along with shifts in redox potential and helium emissions. These anomalies typically emerged 1–16 days before earthquakes and were recorded at multiple stations. The findings support hydrogeochemical analysis as a valuable complement to traditional seismic forecasting and highlight the need for expanded monitoring networks to enhance spatial resolution and early warning systems. This work contributes to integrated seismic hazard assessment by combining geophysical, geochemical, and remote sensing methods.

Keywords

earthquake precursors
seismic forecasting
Hydrogeochemical monitoring
groundwater
geochemical anomalies

Authors

Parvana Abdulrazagova

References:

Ingebritsen, S., Sanford, W. & Neuzil, C. Groundwater in Geologic Processes 2nd edn (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2006)

 Keramova R. A Seismicity and geochemical fields of fluids of Azerbaijan. //The dissertation on competition of a rank of the doctor of geologo-mineralogical sciences. М, Institut of the Physics of the Earth of the RAS. 2004, pp. 1-187.

Kissin I.G. and Grinevsky A.O.; 1990: Main features of hydrogeodynamic earthquake precursors. Tectonophys., 178, 277-286.

Matsumoto N. and Koizumi N.; 2011: Recent hydrological and geochemical research for earthquake prediction in Japan. Nat. Hazards, 69, 1247-1260, doi:10.1007/s11069-011-9980-8.

Roeloffs E.; 1988: Hydrologic precursors to earthquakes: a review. Pure Appl. Geophys., 126, 177-209

Telesca, L., Kadirov, F., Yetirmishli, G. et al. Analysis of the relationship between water level temporal changes and seismicity in the Mingechevir reservoir (Azerbaijan). J Seismol 24, 937–952 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10950-020-09926-3

Wang K, Chen Q-F, Sun S, Wong A (2006) Predicting the 1975 Haicheng earthquake. Bull Seism Soc Am 96:757–795

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