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Some questions of the development of the problem of foresight in the teaching of Western thinkers

Authors

Tulenova Karima Zhandarovna

Rubric:Pedagogy
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The article presents the results of the analysis of scientific concepts on the problem of foresight in the teachings of Western thinkers. It is shown that the issues of scientific foresight and its research have been of concern to people since ancient times, since the first attempts, which can be found in the Ancient East, as the practice of calculating astronomical and natural phenomena, etc. It is proved that the development of issues of scientific foresight and forecasting was due to both objective and subjective reasons, namely the formation of the need for scientifically based ideas about the future of objects of various nature, on the one hand, and the solution of problems related to the development of social processes. In these historical conditions, the idea that foreseeing the future is possible only through the comprehensive and in-depth use of scientific achievements is widely spread, it helps a person to learn the laws of nature hidden from our sight. Knowledge of the laws of nature, "can discover and produce something that has never happened before, which neither the course of natural phenomena, nor artificial experiments, nor the very case, which would never have presented itself to human thinking, would never have brought to fruition. It is shown that the role of science, according to Western scientists, if it relies on the inductive method, can make many new discoveries, anticipate the course of development of future events, learn the laws of nature hidden from our view, as well as express thoughts about the development of social processes.

Keywords

experience
religion
cognition
society
knowledge
nature
science
private sciences
foresight
method
scientific knowledge
induction
deduction
discoveries
causal phenomena
social progress
politics
regularity.
law

Authors

Tulenova Karima Zhandarovna

References:

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Dator, J. (1979), ‘The futures of cultures and cultures of the future’, in Marsella, A. & Tharp, R. & Cibrowski, T. (Eds.) Perspectives on Cross Cultural Psychology. New York, Academic Press, pp. 369-388.

De Jouvenel, B. (1964), L’art de la conjecture, Rocher, Monaco. European Commission (EC) (2001), Communication: Making a European Area of Lifelong Learning a Reality, Available at: http://www.europa.eu.int/comm/education/life/index.htm

Fuller, T. (1999), ‘The futures of foresight’, in Sardar, Z. (Ed.) Rescuing All Our Futures: The future of Futures Studies, Praeger, pp.63-79.

Fuller, T. & Loogma, K. (2005), Sociological View on Foresight: The Potential Use of the Social Constructivist Approaches in Foresight. WG0 of COST A22, manuscript.

Habermas, J. (1981), Theorie des Kommunikativen Handelns, Suhrkamp, Frankfurt a. M.

Havas, A. (2003), ‘Evolving foresight in a small transition economy’, Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 22, pp. 179-201.

Major, E. & Asch, D. & Cordey-Hayes, M. 2001,’Foresight as a core competence’, Futures, Vol. 33, No. 2, pp. 91-108.

Miles, I. (1997), Technology Foresight: Implications for Social Science, CRIC, University of Manchester, Working Paper No 3, ISBN 1 84052 002 7.  

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