Is Our Civilization In Danger? An Analysis of the Factors that Fail Empires

This paper parallels the complex threats facing modern civilization and the challenges that led to the collapse of historical empires. Drawing on the ‘Horsemen of the Apocalypse,’ it highlights five critical factors: major population movements, new epidemic diseases, state failure due to warfare, the breakdown of trade routes, and climate change. The paper introduces a sixth factor—technology—emphasizing its dual role as both a driver of progress and potential source of societal decline. Through historical examples, current events, and scholarly perspectives, the paper explores the fragile state of today’s civilization and advocates for the urgent need for collective actions to address these existential risks. Ultimately, it calls for dialogue on sustainable practices and long term solutions to strengthen the foundation of our shared future, stressing the importance of unity and collaboration in this endeavor.